AGI vs. Robots
In the realm of artificial intelligence, now that we have a clear pathway to its development—meaning, we have created a tool capable of self-development—much emphasis is placed on safeguarding humanity by controlling the pace of AI advancement. By "safeguarding," we mean slowing down its development and deployment, implementing enough guardrails to ensure humanity retains control over this new technology. However, the reality is, despite our efforts, we have little understanding of what truly occurs beneath these guardrails because these machines are trained to remain somewhat unaware. Does this make sense?
As we move forward, amidst the ongoing development of artificial intelligence, the ultimate goal for many is achieving what they term "artificial general intelligence" (AGI). Contrary to popular belief, what some might consider AGI already exists within the confines of these guardrails and specific model training of generative artificial intelligence. As individuals engage with these tools, glimpses of this potential occasionally surface, akin to the emergence of gremlins. Nonetheless, when envisioning AGI—a computer system possessing at least human-level intelligence and capabilities—we are conceptualizing a specific milestone in technological advancement. Keep this in mind.
Conversely, we are witnessing the rise of humanoid robots—machines with human-like forms and features. Significant progress has been made in robotics, particularly in terms of machine automation, making the transition to robots resembling humans seem logical. Many anticipate the realization of Jetsonian flying cars and personal robots like Rosie. With the advent of AI, the prospect of these human-like robots becomes increasingly tangible, especially with the potential of AGI.
Nevertheless, I am of the belief that once AGI is safely and responsibly deployed, it will profoundly impact humanity and unleash our imagination. When contemplating human interaction with such technology, I foresee a shift away from our current trajectories across various domains. This leads me to ponder whether, in the near future, humanity will be more interested in an omnipresent AGI or in physically embodied artificial general intelligence within humanoid robots. Personally, I lean towards the former, though I remain open to humanity's unpredictable choices. I believe there is much for humans to explore about themselves and the world with a technology that operates more discreetly in the background, centering on humanity rather than replicating human traits outright.
Moreover, I see clear use cases for robotics, particularly in tasks posing life-threatening risks to humans. Additionally, we can develop tools to mitigate these risks without relying solely on humanoid robots. Consider the equipment necessary for sustainable space travel, including interplanetary access. Such considerations reinforce my belief in investing more in AGI than humanoid robots. Humanoid robots are inherently limited and unsustainable in terms of their physical attributes and capabilities. In contrast, AGI, while having its own limitations, offers seemingly limitless potential within a controlled digital environment. Yes, this delves into deeper philosophical territory, yet I believe having access to intelligence within a digital sandbox will greatly benefit humanity in addressing real-world issues.
Furthermore, I don't advocate for a multitude of AGIs; one well-developed AGI should suffice, although this warrants a separate discussion for another time.
Overall, I think my analysis provides a well-reasoned perspective on the current state of AI and potential future directions. The points regarding safeguarding, the distinction between AGI and robots, and the potential benefits of AGI are all valid considerations in the ongoing discussion about AI development.
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